Seth's Week 4 NFL Picks
I'm in a funk. I promised in my last article that I would do better than 10-6 last week...and I did the complete opposite. 9-7 is not good enough! What's up with those Giants and Vikings? They absolutely killed me last week! The team I picked as my upset pick of the week also played pathetic as St. Louis got destroyed by Dallas.
It's a brand new week and time to get serious here. So here goes take four of looking through my defective football crystal ball.
Week 3 Results: 9-7
Game Picks Overall: 29-19
Upset of the Week Overall: 1-2
Eliminator Challenge Pick: 2-1
Week 4 Picks (Bold Indicates My Pick):
San Francisco 49ers @ St. Louis Rams:
I've got Rams over 49ers in an upset tonight. 49ers in shambles, Rams almost swept 9ers last year (tied one, won the other). Rams by 3.— Seth Guttman (@RavenNation21) September 26, 2013
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills: E.J. Manuel looked so uncomfortable last week vs the Jets swarming defense, now a week later he goes against arguably the best pass rush combo in the league in Terrell Suggs and Elvis Dumervil. The Bills also gave up a lot of deep throws down the field to Geno Smith, expect Joe Flacco to try to exploit those plays with Torrey Smith and Marlon Brown. Ravens by 17.
Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions: This was by far the hardest game this week to pick. The Bears defense has looked fantastic so far and so has the Lions offense. The Bears offense has looked better than expected so far and so has the Lions defense. It's hard to pick against the Lions on their home turf but I just trust the Bears offense more than I trust the Lions defense. This game could have a lot of turnovers. Bears by 4.
Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns: The Browns shocked the football world last week with a great come from behind win against the Vikings in Minnesota. Now they come home to face the division rival Bengals. The Bengals escaped their game last week in Green Bay with a sloppy victory. If the Browns can get a similar effort out of Josh Gordon and Jordan Cameron this game is going to be closer than people think, but at the end of the day it is Brian Hoyer throwing the football. Bengals by 5.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Minnesota Vikings (London): Ouch. These two teams have not looked good at all to start the season. The Steelers offensive line is in shambles and they haven't been able to establish any sort of rushing attack. They are expected to get rookie running back Le'Veon Bell back this week which could be an interesting development to watch. Both of these defenses have disappointed so far this year and they both got embarrassed at home in Week 3. Loser of this game will be even more embarrassed as they will be sitting ugly at 0-4. I trust Big Ben more than Christian Ponder so I give the Steelers the slight edge across the pond. Steelers by 3.
Arizona Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers: How the mighty have fallen. Josh Freeman, once a promising up and coming quarterback is being benched this week for rookie signal caller Mike Glennon. The Buccaneers may be without Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams in this game, which would make this a tough task for Glennon. This game will be ugly, the team who turns it over the least wins. I think the Buccaneers run the ball fairly well with Doug Martin and edge out the Cardinals. Buccaneers by 3.
Seattle Seahawks @ Houston Texans: Houston has just not looked that good so far this year. They had to bail out their defense in the first two weeks of the year after two pretty poor defensive efforts. After last week's pathetic game in Baltimore, they come back home to play a very tough defensive threat in the Seahawks. Luckily for the Texans, the Seahawks aren't very good at attacking Houston's achilles heel, in throwing the ball down the field. The Texans can't keep settling for field goals in the red zone or they won't win this game. I think the Texans match up well vs Seattle at home and take this one. Texans by 5.
New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans: The winner of this game is 3-1! Could you even imagine that happening before the season? Both of these defenses have looked fantastic to start the 2013 campaign, meaning this game will be an offensive struggle. In the end, I have to go with the offense that I trust the most and that would be the Titans. Titans by 3.
Dallas Cowboys @ San Diego Chargers: The Cowboys defense under Monte Kiffen looks much improved. They dominated the Rams all game long last week with their defensive pressure. Unfortunately for them Anthony Spencer is out for the year, and they will need to find another pass-rush complement to DeMarcus Ware. The Chargers offensive line has not been good for quite some time now so this game could get ugly quick. Cowboys by 10.
Philadelphia Eagles @ Denver Broncos: The Eagles hype may have been a little pre-mature. Yes, they looked great in week 1 but that was vs quite possibly the worst defense in football in Washington. They will have to go up against a very talented Broncos defense that could be getting Champ Bailey back this week. The Eagles defense needs to get pressure on Peyton or he will carve them up just like he did to the Ravens, Giants, and Raiders. I don't think either will happen for the Eagles and the Broncos will roll to 4-0. Broncos by 14.
Washington Redskins @ Oakland Raiders: I was really considering making this my upset pick of the week before I found out Terrelle Pryor had a concussion last Sunday. Now it doesn't look like Pryor will play at all and instead Matt Flynn will finally get his chance to start. I think this game is going to be a shootout and whoever has the ball last will win. I regretfully will take Washington on the road. Redskins by 7.
New England Patriots @ Atlanta Falcons: The Falcons lost a game last week vs the Dolphins that they really should have won. Now they have New England coming to the Georgia Dome in a must win for the dirty birds. If Atlanta wants to keep pace with the high flying Saints, they must play a very good 60 minute game this week. New England may finally get back Rob Gronkowski this week which would be a real matchup nightmare for the Falcons. This game could go eitherway but I'll give the slight edge to the Falcons on their home turf. Falcons by 4.
Miami Dolphins @ New Orleans Saints: The Dolphins are overrated. Their offense does not impress me at all, their defense has holes, and they are a very fluky 3-0. Now they go into one of the hardest home environments to play in professional sports in the Super Dome. If the Dolphins want to prove me wrong and catch my attention, go into New Orleans and win this game on National TV. I obviously don't think that will happen. Saints by 17.
Seth's Upset of the Week:
New York Giants @ Kansas City Chiefs: The Giants would be 0-4 with a loss and the Chiefs would be 4-0 with a win...does that really sound right to you? I may be completely wrong on this Giants team but I don't think they are as bad as they have been playing. It'll be a tough task to slow down Tamba Hali and Justin Houston, which is why the Giants need to establish any sort of running game. Big Blue need to score early and often, and give the defense plenty of rest watching from the sidelines. It is definitely hard to win at Arrowhead but the Giants always seem to win when we count them out. Giants by 10.
Seth's Eliminator Challenge Pick:
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars: This slate of games does not have many safe games. The Colts improved offense and defense will have a fun time playing against this putrid Jacksonville team. Trent Richardson will be an interesting player to watch in this game after a full week with the playbook. I would not be surprised if Richardson has a huge game here. However, I actually think there is a slight chance the Jaguars can pull off the upset. While it's a possibility, I'm not going to bank on the Jaguars winning nor should anyone else. Colts by 10.
That's it for today everyone. You can send me any fantasy football questions you may have @RavenNation21 on twitter. Happy Week 4!