Seth's Week 11 NFL Picks
I picked against my Ravens last week for the first time since 2008 for the sole purpose to spark the team...AND IT WORKED! As long as this strategy continues to work, I'll continue to curse the team playing my Ravens by picking them!
I got my upset pick right and all 3 of my against the spread picks right. I didn't have the best week picking overall, including losing my eliminator challenge pick because of the Jaguars (oh boy!) but all in all it was a good week.
Now lets hope for more success in Week 11. Without further ado, here are my picks!
Week 10 Results: 8-6
Game Picks Overall: 87-60
Upset of the Week Overall: 4-6 (Picked Buccaneers over Dolphins, Won)
Eliminator Challenge Pick: 8-2 (Picked Titans over Jaguars, Lost)
Against the Spread: 7-8 (Got Seahawks -5, Broncos -7, and Panthers +6 right)
Week 11 Picks (Bold Indicates My Pick):
Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans: Both teams are coming off of embarrassments last week in games they were expected to win. The Titans lost their starting QB, Jake Locker, to a season ending injury. Now with Ryan Fitzpatrick under center, the Titans' playoff chances could be on the line on Thursday night. It's hard to pick against the home team for a Thursday night game but I just think the Colts are a much better team. Colts by 7.
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers: The Buccaneers finally won a game! They came out on top vs the Dolphins on Monday night and can tie the Falcons at 2-8 with a win on Sunday. The Falcons' disastrous season continued last week with a blowout loss to the Seahawks. At this point both teams may be better off losing to get a better draft pick. I think Mike Glennon will make one less mistake than Matt Ryan in this game. Buccaneers by 3.
New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills: The Jets come off the bye this week to play a Bills team that they moved the ball against with ease earlier this year. The Bills are healthier on defense than they were in September and the Jets are more banged up on offense. I think this game is going to be really close, but the Jets defense will be too much for E.J. Manuel without Stevie Johnson. Jets by 3.
Baltimore Ravens @ Chicago Bears: IT WORKED! I picked against my Ravens last week, thus putting the Seth Guttman curse on the Bengals. I'm going to try it again this week with a banged up Bears team. The Ravens offense still looked pathetic last week and nearly gave me a heart attack with that gift of a hail mary. This Ravens defense is legit and they will get tested vs a Bears team with lots of talented skill position players. Bears by 3.
Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals: I was really tempted to take the Browns in this game to give them the season sweep vs the Bengals but I couldn't pull the trigger. Andy Dalton is not a good quarterback and I expect the Browns defense to keep this game close. The question then becomes can Jason Campbell do it for the 3rd straight game vs a tough front 7? I think he'll make it close but the Bengals will edge the Browns out at home. Bengals by 3.
Detroit Lions @ Pittsburgh Steelers: The Lions are now looking pretty on-top of the NFC North. They lead the NFC North the furthest into a season in their history. The Lions swept the season series from the Bears and with the Packers playing without Aaron Rodgers, this may be the Lions' chance to bury them before he comes back. The Steelers haven't been able to stop the run all year long, and I expect Reggie Bush to have a huge day on Sunday. The Lions keep rolling! Lions by 10.
Oakland Raiders @ Houston Texans: Both of these teams are terrible. The Texans just put Arian Foster on IR and the Raiders may be without both Terrelle Pryor and Darren McFadden in this game. I still think the Texans front 7 has enough talent to disrupt either Rashad Jennings or Darren McFadden and Case Keenum should have a good game vs this pathetic Raiders' secondary. Texans by 7.
Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles: Is Nick Foles legit? He threw for 7 touchdowns vs the Raiders and 3 touchdowns vs the Packers the past two weeks. How many touchdowns will he chuck vs the horrible Redskins' secondary this week? The Eagles may be the best team in the NFC East right now and I expect them to prove it again on Sunday. Eagles by 7.
San Diego Chargers @ Miami Dolphins: The Dolphins offensive line is in shambles both on and off the field. Bryant McKennie is too busy thinking about cheeseburgers to block anyone at left tackle and the rest of the group hasn't been helping Ryan Tannehill at all this year. Tannehill is the most sacked QB in the NFL this year and I'm surprised he hasn't gotten hurt yet. This Chargers offense will roll over this average Dolphins defense. Chargers by 13.
Green Bay Packers @ New York Giants: The Giants may be the luckiest team in the NFL. After starting 0-6, they have now won three in a row and will be taking on an Aaron Rodgerless Packers this Sunday at the Meadowlands. The addition of Andre Brown really made a difference last week and I expect the offense to continue to improve this week. Eli has to limit the turnovers! Giants by 4.
Minnesota Vikings @ Seattle Seahawks: The Buccaneers came into Seattle and almost beat them two weeks ago when we all thought it'd be a blowout. I'm not predicting a blowout here but I expect the Seahawks to win this game. Keep your eye on Percy Harvin as he may make his 2013 debut vs his former team this weekend. Seahawks by 10.
San Francisco 49ers @ New Orleans Saints: The loss of Vernon Davis could be huge for this struggling 49ers offense. If the 49ers want to have a chance in this game they need to get consistent pressure on Drew Brees. They also need to run the ball effectively and keep Brees off the field as long as possible. The Saints are almost impossible to beat in the Super Dome and I don't see it happening this Sunday. Saints by 7.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos: Will this be the end of the Chiefs undefeated season or do they have something up their sleeve vs Peyton Manning and the Broncos? The Chiefs will need to continue pressuring the QB just like they have all season long to try to force Peyton to make a mistake. They will also need to get a big day out of Jamaal Charles if they want to sniff a win here. I don't think the Chiefs can afford to play from behind, so getting an early lead will be crucial if they want to pull the upset. I'm going to pick the Broncos but I wouldn't be shocked if the Chiefs defense wins this game. Broncos by 4.
Seth's Upset of the Week:
New England Patriots @ Carolina Panthers: The Panthers are legit! After going into Candlestick last week to upset the 49ers, they have everyone's attention as a contender. Now they play a prime-time game vs Tom Brady and the Patriots. I think their elite defense will make the Patriots offense struggle and give Cam Newton a chance to silence his critics. I think this game will come down to the wire and I think the Panthers will keep the pressure on the Saints in the NFC South and win this game. Panthers by 3.
Seth's Eliminator Challenge Pick:
Arizona Cardinals @ Jacksonville Jaguars: I got burned picking against the Jaguars last week but I trust the Cardinals stout defense to keep that from happening again. Hey Bruce Arians, give Andre Ellington more touches! Cardinals by 10.
Seth's Against The Spread Picks of the Week:
Lions (-2.5): The Steelers defense is not the Steelers' defense of old and the Lions offense will scorch them. I expect a very high scoring game and the Lions to come out on top. I think they will at the very least win by a field goal.
Browns (+5.5): This is probably my riskiest play of the week but I just don't think the Bengals are that good. The Browns already beat the Bengals this year and I think this defense will keep this to a low scoring game. I think this game is decided by 3 points.
Chargers (-1.5): The Chargers are going to abuse the Dolphins' pathetic defense which is on a short week. This gambling line is a layup.
That's it for this week. If you'd like to see me tweet about football during the week please follow me at @RavenNation21. I'd also be glad to answer any fantasy football questions you may have for me. Have a great Week 11!